Operating scope
Country head
Capability
All capabilities
Active handovers
0
Outcomes written back
0
Connected work · Agent system
LoyaltyOS · screen 02 of 06
Category lapse
Still shopping, stopped buying something. Basket level never sees it.
Issues in scope
3
3 instances across 2 places
Waiting on you
2
0 already decided in this session
Three largest
AED 18.5m–AED 62.0m
Modelled annual value, three largest only
Running without asking
0
1 armed and waiting on a threshold
Decision owner
Country head
Returns to Category and buy, Country marketing
Scope
Oman
27 stores · all capabilities
Listen
Category level purchase historyRange change calendarThe store the member uses
Process
Category loss inside an active memberDoes it coincide with a range changeOne store or a country
Act
Category specific messageQuestion to category firstStanding arm on category loss
Written backEvery outcome returns to the systems that produced the evidence.
KindOrder
Queue
3 issues · 2 waiting on youArmed
What happened
Category performance is read as sales. A category can hold sales while quietly exchanging its regular buyers for occasional ones, and no standing measure sees the substitution.
Why it matters
Losing regulars is the leading indicator. Sales follow one to two quarters later, by which point the range decision that caused it is long past review and the cause is unrecoverable.
Already done
Armed to fire into category and into loyalty at the same time, so neither has to be told by the other.
Worth
AED 12.0m to AED 40.0m a yearModelledLosing regulars leads sales by one to two quarters. Value is the range decision reversed while it is still reversible.Categories losing regular buyers
Then what
Threshold armed across every category and countryCategory and buyStanding, no return date
Threshold
Any category losing 5% of its regular buyers in a country inside a month
Fires
Fires simultaneously to category and to loyalty with the member counts and the range calendar attached
Question
6,420 members stopped buying fresh meat and kept shopping weekly
OmanWhat happened
The lapse sits inside members who are otherwise fully active, which is why no churn measure has flagged it. The timing coincides closely with the May range change in that category.
Why it matters
If this is a range problem, a win-back message is money spent annoying people about something we changed. If it is not, it is 6,420 members quietly moving one category to a competitor. The two need opposite responses and the evidence does not separate them.
Already done
The message is drafted and held. Nothing has been sent, because sending it first is the expensive mistake.
Worth
AED 3.9m to AED 13.3m a yearModelledActive members who stopped buying a category. Value is the category spend at risk, times the recovery rate once the cause is known to be loyalty rather than range.Regular buyers lost in the category
Then what
Cause recorded, message released or heldCategory and buyReports back 21 Sept
Draft
The category message is written and waiting on that answer
OmanWhat happened
It is written to the specific category rather than as a generic win-back, and prepared in Arabic, English and Malayalam so the member receives it in the language they transact in.
Why it matters
A generic we miss you message to somebody who is in the store every week reads as an organisation that does not know its own customer. The category version reads as attention.
Already done
Drafted, translated and held behind the range question above.
Worth
AED 2.6m to AED 8.7m a yearModelledA message written to the category rather than a generic win-back. Value is the difference in response rate between the two.Response rate on category messages
Then what
Message sent in three languagesCountry marketingReports back 19 Sept
We noticed you have not visited our fresh meat counter in a while. The counter at your store has changed since then, and we would like you to see it. Reply STOP to stop these messages.

